Skip to main content

Is First Solar ($FSLR) a Good Stock to Buy on the Dip?


Is First Solar ($FSLR) a Good Stock to Buy on the Dip?

The recent election news has impacted the stock market in interesting ways, particularly in the energy sector. Following Trump’s election to the White House, oil-related companies saw an immediate rally, while green energy stocks like solar were heavily sold off. This could be due to expectations that Trump’s administration will prioritize oil drilling, boosting revenue projections for oil companies while sidelining green energy initiatives. But there’s an intriguing counterpoint worth considering: Elon Musk.

The Elon Musk Factor

Elon Musk, a prominent figure in renewable energy, played an influential role during Trump’s campaign. Given Musk’s relationship with the incoming administration, it’s reasonable to expect he’ll have some sway on green energy policies. Trump is known for his reciprocal style—rewarding loyalty and partnership. This dynamic could potentially benefit Tesla, SolarCity, and First Solar as a whole, turning what initially appears to be a headwind into a tailwind for solar stocks.

Strong Fundamentals Back First Solar’s Potential

From a fundamental perspective, First Solar has an attractive valuation. The stock’s P/E ratio is currently 16, with a forward P/E of 9, and its EPS is projected to grow by 56% next year and around 31% over the next five years. These metrics reflect a strong growth potential, supported by an operating margin of 36%, indicating efficiency in its operations. The stock’s price target sits at $282, with a current price around $194—suggesting significant upside. However, a downside for some investors is the lack of dividends. For those looking to hold and earn passive income while waiting for the stock to appreciate, this might be a limitation.

Technical Analysis: Signs of a Rebound?

On the technical side, First Solar is showing some positive indicators. The stock recently formed a “hammer” pattern on both weekly and daily charts, signaling a potential bottom. Additionally, it has hit a key support level, which could provide a strong foundation for a rebound. This pattern and support level make First Solar particularly attractive for buyers looking to enter or add to positions at a lower price.



Final Take: A Compelling Long-Term Opportunity

All signs point toward First Solar as a compelling buy at this level, especially for those with a long-term outlook. While this is not financial advice, and market conditions can always change, First Solar’s fundamentals, growth potential, and technical signals suggest it could offer significant value for investors. As always, make sure to do your own research and understand the risks before making any investment decisions.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Invert, Always Invert: Charlie Munger’s Secret Weapon

One of Charlie Munger’s favorite tricks for solving problems wasn’t something flashy or complicated. It was simple, almost childlike. He called it: “Invert, always invert.” But the story behind it goes back much further than Omaha boardrooms or Berkshire Hathaway meetings. From a Mathematician to an Investor In the 19th century, German mathematician Carl Gustav Jacob Jacobi often faced impossible problems. Instead of trying to wrestle them head-on, he flipped them around. If proving something directly was too hard, he asked himself: “What would make the opposite true?” Munger stumbled across this idea and immediately saw how powerful it was. If it worked in mathematics, why not in business, investing, or even life? He often quipped: “All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there.” It sounds funny, but behind the humor is the essence of inversion: if you want to succeed, start by avoiding failure. A Dinner Conversation Imagine you’re at dinner with Charlie Mung...

๐ŸŒพ Why Billionaires Are Buying Farmland — The Real Reasons Behind the Land Rush

  ๐Ÿž Why Billionaires Are Quietly Buying Farmland and Vast Tracts of Land In recent years, some of the world’s richest people — including Bill Gates , Jeff Bezos , and Mark Zuckerberg — have quietly become major landowners. From farmland in the U.S. Midwest to tropical ranches in Hawaii, they are accumulating land faster than ever. But what’s driving this modern-day land rush? ๐ŸŒพ 1. A Hedge Against Inflation Farmland is one of the oldest and safest tangible assets . It generates real income through crops and leases while preserving value when inflation rises. As food prices climb, farmland values follow — making it a powerful inflation hedge for billionaires whose wealth is tied up in volatile tech stocks. ๐ŸŒ 2. Control Over Food and Resources Land means control of food production, water rights, and renewable energy potential . Bill Gates’s 270,000-acre farmland portfolio — the largest in America — reflects a push toward sustainable food systems and climate-friendly agr...

๐Ÿ‹ MicroStrategy vs. LTCM: Could a Fat-Tail Event Trigger a Forced Liquidation?

 MicroStrategy (MSTR) has become one of the most leveraged macro bets of our generation. Not through derivatives like LTCM in 1998, but through a simple conviction: “Bitcoin is the ultimate asset, and MicroStrategy will buy as much as possible.” ⚡️ Today, MSTR owns more than 650,000 BTC , but its real cost basis is now around $74k–$75k after continuous purchases funded by stock issuance and convertible debt. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is correcting ๐Ÿ“‰, and MSTR is down more than 60% with no clear bottom . This raises a powerful question: Is there a scenario where MSTR gets pushed into a liquidation — similar to how LTCM was forced to unwind during a fat-tail event? Let’s break it down. ๐Ÿ‘‡ ⚖️ LTCM vs. MSTR: Two Completely Different Leverage Profiles ๐Ÿ“‰ LTCM (1998) 25x–50x leverage on tiny spreads Relied on “stable” historical correlations ๐Ÿงฎ Daily margin calls When spreads blew out, they needed collateral immediately Forced fire-sale liquidation within hours ...