📈 SigmaTrader Blog

 MicroStrategy (MSTR) has become one of the most leveraged macro bets of our generation. Not through derivatives like LTCM in 1998, but through a simple conviction: “Bitcoin is the ultimate asset, and MicroStrategy will buy as much as possible.” ⚡️ Today, MSTR owns more than 650,000 BTC , but its real cost basis is now around $74k–$75k after continuous purchases funded by stock issuance and convertible debt. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is correcting 📉, and MSTR is down more than 60% with no clear bottom . This raises a powerful question: Is there a scenario where MSTR gets pushed into a liquidation — similar to how LTCM was forced to unwind during a fat-tail event? Let’s break it down. 👇 ⚖️ LTCM vs. MSTR: Two Completely Different Leverage Profiles 📉 LTCM (1998) 25x–50x leverage on tiny spreads Relied on “stable” historical correlations 🧮 Daily margin calls When spreads blew out, they needed collateral immediately Forced fire-sale liquidation within hours ...

 Jamie Dimon Warns: "You Are Going to Panic" When the Bond Market Cracks $TSLA , $MSTR , and $MSFT are topping, while $NVDA shows a head and shoulders pattern forming. Buckle up and focus on preserving capital—this is not the time for greed. In a high interest rate environment, managing risk matters more than chasing reward. At a recent event hosted by the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, issued a stark warning to regulators about the fragility of the U.S. bond market. He emphasized that a significant disruption is imminent and will provoke panic among regulators and investors alike.  Dimon criticized current banking regulations, particularly proposed changes to banks' supplementary leverage ratios, arguing they don't adequately support the $29 trillion Treasury market. He highlighted that these regulations could hinder banks' ability to absorb shocks during periods of market stress. This warning comes in the wake of Apr...

Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture: Will It Follow Gold to New Highs? Bitcoin ($BTC) is currently approaching a major inflection point on the weekly chart. Technical indicators such as Money Flow and RSI are signaling strength, and it appears that the long-standing downtrend may be coming to an end. The big question is: Will BTC break out and follow in Gold’s footsteps as a “digital gold,” pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH)? No one can predict the future with certainty, but the odds favor a significant move if this breakout occurs. Despite recent weakness in the Nasdaq, Bitcoin has shown impressive resilience, which could be a bullish sign. However, if BTC fails to break out in the coming week, a drop to the $55K area is possible. This level aligns with strong historical support and the weekly 200 SMA — a level that many technical traders will be watching closely. So, What Can We Do? This is not financial advice , but from a long-term investor's perspective, we believe it m...