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Is It Time to Buy US Stocks?

 📉 Is It Time to Buy US Stocks?

Nobody can perfectly time the market—let’s get that out of the way first. But when your favorite asset is hovering near a major technical support, you need to ask yourself a key question:

If it drops, will you regret buying? Or if it flies, will you regret missing out?

If you lean toward the second one, it might be time to pull the trigger. But let’s be clear:
Never go all in. Never fully exit. Unless the fundamentals change.




🔍 Why Now?

Both $QQQ and $SPY are sitting close to their 200-week SMA—a historically strong support zone. (A 10% drop in SPY would bring it down to its 200-week simple moving average (SMA))


Institutions often accumulate at these levels while retail panic sells. You might be thinking, "This time is different." But I’ve heard that exact phrase during:

  • Market all-time highs

  • Bearish breakdowns

  • Sudden sentiment shifts

The truth is: sentiment flips fast. Most investors aren't rational. They’re usually:

  • 🤑 Greedy at the top

  • 😱 Fearful at the bottom


🧠 A Rare Divergence: XHB

Here’s something that caught my attention recently:
On a day when QQQ and SPY both dropped over 5%, the Homebuilder ETF $XHB closed +1.14%. Yes, you read that right—green on a red day.

That’s not the end of the world.


🏦 Worried About the Economy?

Let’s keep it simple:
If you have 6–12 months of savings tucked away, why panic?

Let the government worry about the economy. They’ll respond—whether it’s:

  • 💸 Printing money (QE)

  • 🛃 Tariff rollbacks

  • 🧰 Policy shifts

Our job isn’t to fix the macro. It’s to find bargains.


🛒 What We’re Buying

We’re finally pulling the trigger on names we’ve waited patiently to buy. Mainly:

  • High-quality Tech stocks (strong balance sheets, scalable models)

  • 🏦 Select Financials (long-awaited entry points)

Why?

  • The economy remains resilient

  • The next Fed move is more likely a cut than a hike

  • Rate cuts are generally bullish for Tech

🎯 We’re accumulating slowly, not chasing.
Not disclosing specific tickers yet, but you'll see soon enough.


🧘 Final Thoughts

Stay rational.
Stay prepared.
Don’t get emotional—get strategic.

When the opportunity looks cheap enough, have the stomach to act.
That’s how you win in this game.

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