Skip to main content

Will $FXI - China Large-Cap ETF Break Out? A Critical Moment Approaches


The $FXI - China Large-Cap ETF is on the verge of an important technical breakout after forming a wedge pattern that has lasted for over four months. But the big question remains: Will the breakout happen to the upside or the downside?


While no one can predict market moves with absolute certainty, the current state of China's market and economy over the last few years provides a hint. Given recent trends, it seems that the risk-to-reward ratio favors an upward breakout. If the price surges upward, the potential gains could be significant. Look China Index below, more than -55% dropped lastly:


On the other hand, if the ETF breaks downward, the downside risk appears limited, with a low likelihood of substantial losses.

It’s important to remember that this analysis is based on our personal strategy and investments over the last few days. While we expect the wedge pattern to resolve soon, this is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Key Takeaways:

  • The $FXI ETF is nearing a breakout after forming a wedge pattern for over four months.
  • An upward breakout could present substantial upside potential.
  • The downside risk seems relatively contained in comparison to the possible reward.

Stay tuned for updates, as this technical pattern could resolve soon, and the outcome may have meaningful implications for traders and investors alike.


Result:
+22% in money as of 26.09.2024




Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Invert, Always Invert: Charlie Munger’s Secret Weapon

One of Charlie Munger’s favorite tricks for solving problems wasn’t something flashy or complicated. It was simple, almost childlike. He called it: “Invert, always invert.” But the story behind it goes back much further than Omaha boardrooms or Berkshire Hathaway meetings. From a Mathematician to an Investor In the 19th century, German mathematician Carl Gustav Jacob Jacobi often faced impossible problems. Instead of trying to wrestle them head-on, he flipped them around. If proving something directly was too hard, he asked himself: “What would make the opposite true?” Munger stumbled across this idea and immediately saw how powerful it was. If it worked in mathematics, why not in business, investing, or even life? He often quipped: “All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there.” It sounds funny, but behind the humor is the essence of inversion: if you want to succeed, start by avoiding failure. A Dinner Conversation Imagine you’re at dinner with Charlie Mung...

๐ŸŒพ Why Billionaires Are Buying Farmland — The Real Reasons Behind the Land Rush

  ๐Ÿž Why Billionaires Are Quietly Buying Farmland and Vast Tracts of Land In recent years, some of the world’s richest people — including Bill Gates , Jeff Bezos , and Mark Zuckerberg — have quietly become major landowners. From farmland in the U.S. Midwest to tropical ranches in Hawaii, they are accumulating land faster than ever. But what’s driving this modern-day land rush? ๐ŸŒพ 1. A Hedge Against Inflation Farmland is one of the oldest and safest tangible assets . It generates real income through crops and leases while preserving value when inflation rises. As food prices climb, farmland values follow — making it a powerful inflation hedge for billionaires whose wealth is tied up in volatile tech stocks. ๐ŸŒ 2. Control Over Food and Resources Land means control of food production, water rights, and renewable energy potential . Bill Gates’s 270,000-acre farmland portfolio — the largest in America — reflects a push toward sustainable food systems and climate-friendly agr...

๐Ÿ‹ MicroStrategy vs. LTCM: Could a Fat-Tail Event Trigger a Forced Liquidation?

 MicroStrategy (MSTR) has become one of the most leveraged macro bets of our generation. Not through derivatives like LTCM in 1998, but through a simple conviction: “Bitcoin is the ultimate asset, and MicroStrategy will buy as much as possible.” ⚡️ Today, MSTR owns more than 650,000 BTC , but its real cost basis is now around $74k–$75k after continuous purchases funded by stock issuance and convertible debt. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is correcting ๐Ÿ“‰, and MSTR is down more than 60% with no clear bottom . This raises a powerful question: Is there a scenario where MSTR gets pushed into a liquidation — similar to how LTCM was forced to unwind during a fat-tail event? Let’s break it down. ๐Ÿ‘‡ ⚖️ LTCM vs. MSTR: Two Completely Different Leverage Profiles ๐Ÿ“‰ LTCM (1998) 25x–50x leverage on tiny spreads Relied on “stable” historical correlations ๐Ÿงฎ Daily margin calls When spreads blew out, they needed collateral immediately Forced fire-sale liquidation within hours ...