📈 SigmaTrader Blog

Since July, oil prices have been on a steady decline, reaching a major support level. But just because it’s at a key level doesn’t mean it won’t break further to the downside. However, if oil reverses and breaks to the upside, we could see a significant rally—and with it, the potential for inflation to rise. The Recession Fears vs. Economic Optimism On one hand, many people are concerned about the possibility of the U.S. entering a recession, which could drag oil prices even lower. If the economy slows down, demand for oil will drop, likely pushing prices down further. On the other hand, there's 0.5% interest rate cut that could prevent a recession, especially since U.S. GDP has been in good shape based on the latest data. Another positive factor to consider is China’s recent economic stimulus. As the world’s second-largest economy, China’s stimulus could boost demand for commodities, potentially dragging the global market, including oil, upward. The stimulus has already influenced...

When it comes to investing, there are no crystal balls. Predicting the future performance of a stock is never easy, and Boeing ( $BA ) is no exception. Over the past few months, the aerospace giant has faced a string of bad news. So, does that mean it’s a sinking ship? Not necessarily. Fundamentals vs. Technicals From a fundamental perspective, Boeing doesn’t look too appealing right now. Key metrics like the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and operating margin suggest that Boeing is not in great financial shape. But stock performance isn't based solely on fundamentals—technical analysis can provide additional insight. Currently, Boeing’s stock is in a wedge pattern, a technical formation that often precedes a significant move in either direction. This means that while the stock could break below current levels, it could also break above, potentially triggering a big price movement. Too Big to Fail? If you believe that Boeing is "too big to fail," it might mak...

The $ FXI - China Large-Cap ETF is on the verge of an important technical breakout after forming a wedge pattern that has lasted for over four months. But the big question remains: Will the breakout happen to the upside or the downside? While no one can predict market moves with absolute certainty, the current state of China's market and economy over the last few years provides a hint. Given recent trends, it seems that the risk-to-reward ratio favors an upward breakout. If the price surges upward, the potential gains could be significant. Look China Index below, more than -55% dropped lastly: On the other hand, if the ETF breaks downward, the downside risk appears limited, with a low likelihood of substantial losses. It’s important to remember that this analysis is based on our personal strategy and investments over the last few days. While we expect the wedge pattern to resolve soon, this is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a financial professi...

In recent days, commodities have started making clean breakouts, with precious metals like gold leading the charge.  Gold has been flirting with its all-time high, and just yesterday, it broke past a significant resistance level. Now, with nothing but "blue sky" ahead, the yellow metal looks poised for further gains as it enters uncharted territory. If you missed out on the gold setup, don't worry—we’ve been highlighting these opportunities . But gold isn't the only commodity breaking out. Palladium , another major player in the precious metals market, has also made a significant move. After breaking out, Palladium experienced a retest of its levels and is now soaring. Historically one of the more beaten-down commodities, Palladium has the potential for substantial gains if it continues its current bullish trajectory. And for those who feel they’ve missed both the gold and Palladium setups, there’s still Silver . Currently sitting at a key resistance level, silver co...

If you're on the lookout for an international stock that offers a solid combination of growth potential, high operating margins, and relatively low institutional ownership, Kaspi.kz JSC ADR ($KSPI) might be worth your attention. As an emerging name outside the U.S., Kaspi.kz is a Kazakhstan-based company that has been making waves with its strong financial metrics and attractive valuation. Who is Kaspi.kz JSC? Kaspi.kz is a diversified tech-driven company, primarily offering services through its mobile app. It operates in three major segments: Payments Platform – Facilitating financial transactions through digital services. Marketplace Platform – Providing a platform for online shopping and e-commerce. Fintech Platform – Offering financial solutions, such as loans and investments. Strong Financial Performance What sets Kaspi.kz apart from many other international stocks is its impressive financial performance. Here are some key highlights: Dividend Yield: Kaspi.kz pays a dividend...

Investors are constantly searching for opportunities that offer a balance of risk and reward. One stock that has caught the eye of many is Arcos Dorados Holdings, Inc. ( $ARCO ), the company responsible for operating and franchising McDonald’s restaurants across Latin America and the Caribbean. With the stock currently sitting on a crucial weekly technical support level, now could be a significant moment to evaluate its potential. Why Consider ARCO? 1. Attractive Valuation Arcos Dorados Holdings is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11, with a forward-looking P/E of 9.97. This relatively low valuation suggests that the stock may be undervalued, especially considering the company’s strong market position and brand power. A P/E ratio below 15 is often a sign of a potentially undervalued stock, making ARCO appealing for value investors. 2. Dividend Yield In addition to its attractive valuation, ARCO offers a dividend yield of 2.33%. While this isn’t the highest yield availabl...

Chinese ADRs (American Depositary Receipts) are seeing a strong upward movement in premarket trading today, capturing the attention of investors. This positive momentum is largely driven by significant developments surrounding two major Chinese companies: Alibaba and Bilibili . Alibaba’s Strategic Shift: Opening Doors to Mainland Investors Alibaba is making headlines with its latest strategic move to change its listing status on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. According to a report from the South China Morning Post, this adjustment will make Alibaba's shares eligible for trading by the 220 million investors in mainland China through the Stock Connect program. The move is still pending approval, but if it goes through, it is expected to significantly boost Alibaba’s trading volume and liquidity. This would be a major step in fulfilling a long-standing goal of allowing domestic Chinese investors to share in the capital gains of one of the country’s most prominent tech giants. The imp...